FARC’s Options and 4G Warfare
Narco News has a fascinating analysis of FARC’s current situation and their options for the future. While they were once a legitimate revolutionary Marxist organisation, over the years FARC degenerated into a straight narco terrorism, kidnapping operation unbound by any principles. Their options now are limited, but they can choose the path of 4G Warfare and become viable again in the 21st Century. The article has too many links for my to just re-post here. Better to visit Narcosphere directly and read the whole article. This last section (and specifically the last sentence) is the key, though. And worth thinking hard about.
The Bazaar
The decentralized, and seemingly chaotic guerrilla war in Iraq demonstrates a pattern that will likely serve as a model for
next generation terrorists. This pattern shows a level of learning, activity, and success similar to what we see in the open source software community. I call this pattern the bazaar. The bazaar solves the problem: how do small, potentially antagonistic networks combine to conduct war? (…) Here are the factors that apply (from the perspective of the guerrillas):
* Release early and often. Try new forms of attacks against different types of targets early and often. Don't wait for a perfect plan.
* Given a large enough pool of co-developers, any difficult problem will be seen as obvious by someone, and solved. Eventually some
participant of the bazaar will find a way to disrupt a particularly difficult target. All you need to do is copy the process they used.
* Your co-developers (beta-testers) are your most valuable resource. The other guerrilla networks in the bazaar are your
most valuable allies. They will innovate on your plans, swarm on weaknesses you identify, and protect you by creating system noise.
* Recognize good ideas from your co-developers. Simple attacks that have immediate and far-reaching impact should be adopted.
* Perfection is achieved when there is nothing left to take away (simplicity). The easier the attack is, the more easily
it will be adopted. Complexity prevents swarming that both amplifies and protects.
* Tools are often used in unexpected ways. An attack method can often find reuse in unexpected ways.
(The attentive observer will also note that much of this can be applied to non-violent grassroots initiatives, political campaigns and protest movements as well).
apethought on August 19th 2008 in Resistence, Surviving Collapse